What's Different This Time: Mergers And Takeovers

The most dangerous four words in English, we're told, are “it's different this time.”

Having run a global investing newsletter for 22 years, I can spot what's unusual compared to past decades. The new trend in 2011 is clear. This year is not a repeat of 2008, despite the continued politico-economic crisis on both sides of the pond, concern about banks and bond markets, the range-bound stock market, and the continued lag in hiring and home-construction.

What is different this time is the urge to merge. Global Investing for 22 years has encouraged its readers to buy smaller, less-well-known shares around the open markets of the world. We look for undervalued stocks, using our team of savvy reporters to dig them out.

In a typical year we might see one takeover bid for one of our holdings. Or none. This year, to date, we have seen seven (or eight if you count Crucell ( CRXL ), a stock I sold too soon.) Moreover, one of our shares is in bidding war itself (as a buyer) and another two did transformative takeovers this year. That is a record. It is also telling us that something is different about the markets in 2011.

First of all, without the particulars, the stocks being sought are not from all sectors across the board. They're mostly in pharmaceuticals and biotech, and financial services, with a scattering of shares from heavy industry and one in consumer goods, beaten down sectors where acquirers find bargains.

They are all from developed country markets, open to the world. And most are companies you have never heard of. You will probably not own them through mutual funds, which do not drill down that deeply, to say nothing of index-tracking exchange-traded funds, which make money by ignoring small caps it's expensive for them to buy. And of course they were priced way too low when we bought our way in.

This note results from news that Britain's Phoenix Group PLC is being bid for.

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What's Different This Time: Mergers And Takeovers

This note results from news that Britain's Phoenix Group PLC is being bid for. PHNX is a specialty life insurance consolidation company which bought with-profit life insurance policies from an outfit called Pearl, and writes no new policies.



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